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The Center Holds, But at What Cost?

European politics is braced for a potential right-wing surge at the 2024 European Parliament elections. The center-right European People’s Party (EPP) may face tricky decisions.

Author/s
Raphael Bossong
Nicolai von Ondarza
IPQ
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Germany Needs to Recover Its European Spirit

The government of Chancellor Olaf Scholz set out to define its foreign and security policy in “the European interest,” but has regularly failed to do so. It should change course now.

Author/s
Jana Puglierin
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The UK-Shaped Hole in Organizing Europe’s Security

The Weimar Triangle of France, Germany, and Poland is now supposed to propel Europe’s response to Russia’s war against Ukraine, but it isn’t working. Including the United Kingdom is essential.

Author/s
John Kampfner
IPQ
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The European Parliament Does More than You Think

European voters are in the habit of treating the European Parliament elections every five years as inconsequential protest votes based on national issues not related to the EU. But if they vote for the far right, it will have major economic, environmental, and geopolitical consequences.

Author/s
Dave Keating
IPQ
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Europe’s Hamiltonian Test Is Still to Come

The debate about further enhancing the EU’s financial firepower has led nowhere and might actually be regressing. It is time to discuss the future of the EU budget, its capacity to borrow and Europe’s taxing power with greater urgency. 

Author/s
Shahin Vallée
IPQ
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France’s Pivot to Europe

The European Union seems disoriented in 2024. The German chancellor is turning to Washington when leadership is needed. That leaves French President Emmanuel Macron.

Author/s
Jacob Ross
IPQ
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Turkey’s Geostrategy: Opportunism and Dissonance

Under AKP rule, Turkey has attempted to chart an independent course, focusing on the Eastern Mediterranean, the Black Sea, and Africa while not shying away from confronting the West. But there are limits to this strategy.

Author/s
Sinem Adar
IPQ
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British Geostrategy and the Defense of Europe

The United Kingdom has not become “unpredictable” or “undependable” as a consequence of Brexit. Rather, its grand strategy suggests a blueprint for containing Russia’s aggression and increasing Europe’s security.

Author/s
James Rogers
IPQ
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Resilience at Core of China’s Geostrategic Approach to Europe

Beijing has been centering its dealings with Europe around strategic investments in the continent’s infrastructure. While the EU’s pushback has increased, China is unlikely to lose interest.

Author/s
Francesca Ghiretti
IPQ
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Europe’s Geostrategic Awakening

Decades of US protection created a false sense of normative superiority in the EU. It also made Europe lose much of its strategic instincts while facing deep-seated systemic deficiencies. Overcoming those will be the key task for 2024 and beyond.

Author/s
Romana Vlahutin
IPQ
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Russia’s Geostrategic Shifts

By launching its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Moscow has brought back geopolitics to Europe for good. It’s striking, however, that a country with such limited resources has been able to set the framework within which the Europeans are forced to act.

Author/s
Stefan Meister
IPQ
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A Different Way of Thinking about EU Enlargement and Reform

After a lost decade-and-a-half that saw the establishment of German predominance, there is now the acute danger of Berlin and Paris applying rejected ideas to enlarging and reforming the EU: Four principles for a future-oriented EU expansion and adaptation.

Author/s
Roderick Parkes
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