French President Emmanuel Macron has banked on Franco-German cooperation, an approach that finally proved successful in 2020. With Angela Merkel leaving the scene, he needs to build bridges to her potential successors, and quickly.
Within a few weeks the EU will have vaccinated the same share of its population as the United States and the United Kingdom. But Brussels will not forget the vaccine-hoarding behavior of the EU’s Western allies.
During her last few weeks in office, the German chancellor seems to be trying one last big thing: rejigging the West.
French voters often punish their presidents by refusing them reelection. However, Emmanuel Macron’s brand of relatively unideological third way politics seems to resonate with the electorate. His chances of securing a second term look good.
The German approach to Russia, of pursuing positive interdependence and friendly engagement, is simply out of kilter with the Kremlin’s perception of Russia’s interests.
All the German parties want credit for raising climate targets. But none wants to be blamed for raising carbon prices to achieve them.
A double crisis involving China and Russia as early as next year is a plausible scenario. However, the German politicians jostling to succeed Angela Merkel have presented no answers. Worse, they are not even acknowledging the need for a long-term strategy.
A proposed EU military training mission to Mozambique ostensibly speaks of new ambitions. In fact, the present approach is everything but ambitious. The EU Strategic Compass offers a chance to get crisis management back on track.
It is likely that arms control talks between the US and Russia will resume later this year. Berlin should begin considering now how they will impact German and European security.
The failure of German and European policy in Libya has come at a high price, leaving the country in a shambles and allowing authoritarian states to play too dominant a role.
There are good reasons why Europeans should withstand Washington’s charm offensive to align with the United States when it comes to China policy, including global governance, Africa, and geopolitics.
With sanctions, counter-sanctions, and the EU-China Comprehensive Agreement on Investment on ice, there is no prospect of improving relations between Brussels and Beijing.